Donald Trump may have an issue in America’s largest red state. There is an indication that if the presidential election were held today, the president could lose to Joe Biden. A new Quinnipiac University poll released today shows:
President Donald Trump is locked in too-close-to-call races with any one of seven top Democratic challengers in the 2020 presidential race in Texas, where former Vice President Joseph Biden has 48 percent to President Trump with 44 percent.
These differences are statistically insignificant, but the power of being the only candidate to place ahead of Trump is huge. Remember: If a Democrat wins Texas, there’s almost no way Trump can win the presidency. If Clinton had won Texas, she would be president now, despite having lost Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
This is really good news for Biden.
It is hard to see a path for Trump to win the White House again if he loses Texas’ 38 electoral votes. And Vanity Fair points out:
No Democrat has won a presidential election since 1976, when peanut farmer Jimmy Carter beat incumbent Republican President Gerald Ford. In all 10 presidential races since then, Republicans have won Texas decisively, from George H.W. Bush’s 3.5% win over Bill Clinton to Ronald Reagan’s whopping 27.5% victory over Walter Mondale. Donald Trump himself carried the state by 9 points in 2016.
The same poll isn’t favorable for Texan Beto O’Rourke’s presidential bid. Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. says:
“The data shows home-state hopeful, former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, is doing OK in the presidential matchup, but Democratic voters would prefer he leave the presidential campaign and run for the U.S. Senate,” Brown added.