We are 131 days from the general election on November 3rd. In politics, it’s known as an eternity. But trends are settling in that are far outside the margin of error.

A wide variety of national polls all show the same result, even the Fox News poll shows Donald Trump losing. But, national polls don’t matter as much as much as those taken in battleground states. That’s where this election will be won. Those too are moving in one direction, away from Donald Trump.

Here is the latest from the New York Times/Siena polls of key states.

A national poll on Wednesday from NYT/Siena had Biden leading Trump by 14 points.

And, it’s not just the Times/Sienna poll. A well-respected survey from Wisconsin, the Marquette-Law poll shows Biden up 8 points in the crucial swing state.

But as NBC News points out, Trump has found himself down before, especially after the Access Hollywood tape was released in 2016. And lots of Americans don’t believe the polls. But, Meet The Press asks:

Come September and October, will coronavirus cases no longer be spiking? Will the unemployment rate no longer be in double digits? Will Americans be confident to send their children back to school?And will Trump have adopted a new message and tone, meeting concerned independents and swing voters where they are right now, as Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., urged on Wednesday? It’s entirely possible this presidential contest narrows in the next four months. But it’s also entirely possible, as National Journal’s Josh Kraushaarwrites, that we have a potential landslide staring right at us.

During a virtual fundraiser for Joe Biden, former President Barack Obama warned: “We can’t be complacent or smug or sense that somehow it’s so obvious that this president hasn’t done a good job, because look, he won once.”