Trump Admin. Bets Big on Untested Virus Vaccine; Will It Work? Who Knows?

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Dr. Nita Patel, Director of Antibody discovery and Vaccine development, looks at a computer model showing the protein structure of a potential coronavirus, COVID-19, vaccine at Novavax labs in Gaithersburg, Maryland on March 20, 2020, one of the labs developing a vaccine for the coronavirus, COVID-19. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) / The erroneous mention[s] appearing in the metadata of this photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS has been modified in AFP systems in the following manner: [Gaithersburg] instead of [Rockville]. Please immediately remove the erroneous mention[s] from all your online services and delete it (them) from your servers. If you have been authorized by AFP to distribute it (them) to third parties, please ensure that the same actions are carried out by them. Failure to promptly comply with these instructions will entail liability on your part for any continued or post notification usage. Therefore we thank you very much for all your attention and prompt action. We are sorry for the inconvenience this notification may cause and remain at your disposal for any further information you may require. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

The Trump administration has agreed to pay vaccine maker Novavax $1.6 billion to develop, test and produce 100 million doses of a coronavirus vaccine around the start of 2021, the company announced on Tuesday.

It amounts to a big bet on the Maryland-based biotech company, which has never brought a product to market.

It’s the largest deal yet for Operation Warp Speed — which the New York Times describes as “the sprawling federal effort to make coronavirus vaccines and treatments available to the American public as quickly as possible.”

The Novavax vaccine is aimed at boosting the body’s natural immune response with microscopic particles carrying tiny fragments of the Covid-19 virus.

Even Novavax president and CEO Stanley Erck admits the gamble might not pay off.

“Nobody knows for sure,” Erck said Tuesday morning on CNBC. Whether the vaccine works or not must be determined through clinical trials, he added.

Phase 1 of the trials will be completed in about a week in Australia, Erck told Reuters, with a second round of trials beginning in August or September and Phase 3 testing starting in October.

The Warp Speed award pays for testing of the Novavax vaccine and production of 100 million doses, to be delivered starting in the fourth quarter of 2020 and completed “by January or February of next year,” Erck said. The 100 million doses are enough for 50 million people to receive an initial injection and a booster.

In a statement, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said that Novavax adds to Operation Warp Speed’s “diverse portfolio of vaccines increases the odds that we will have a safe, effective vaccine as soon as the end of this year.”

Another company, Sanofi, has received more than $30 million in federal funding to develop a similar vaccine that stimulates the body’s own immune system to fight the virus.

Other pharmaceutical companies, including Johnson & Johnson, Moderna and AstraZeneca, are working on different types of vaccines.